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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, Kentucky, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Kentucky, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1990, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 3.5.
During 1990-2002, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.5.
During 2002-2014, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.9.
During 2014-2018, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.5 to -3.7.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 48.5. The estimated rate was 49.3.
In 1976, the observed rate was 47.5. The estimated rate was 50.8.
In 1977, the observed rate was 53.1. The estimated rate was 52.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 55.3. The estimated rate was 54.1.
In 1979, the observed rate was 55.4. The estimated rate was 55.8.
In 1980, the observed rate was 58.0. The estimated rate was 57.5.
In 1981, the observed rate was 61.5. The estimated rate was 59.3.
In 1982, the observed rate was 62.5. The estimated rate was 61.2.
In 1983, the observed rate was 62.9. The estimated rate was 63.1.
In 1984, the observed rate was 65.5. The estimated rate was 65.1.
In 1985, the observed rate was 67.4. The estimated rate was 67.2.
In 1986, the observed rate was 69.0. The estimated rate was 69.3.
In 1987, the observed rate was 70.0. The estimated rate was 71.5.
In 1988, the observed rate was 74.5. The estimated rate was 73.8.
In 1989, the observed rate was 75.4. The estimated rate was 76.1.
In 1990, the observed rate was 77.4. The estimated rate was 78.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 80.4. The estimated rate was 78.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 77.5. The estimated rate was 78.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 78.5. The estimated rate was 78.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 81.0. The estimated rate was 78.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 78.9. The estimated rate was 78.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 79.3. The estimated rate was 78.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 78.5. The estimated rate was 78.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 77.4. The estimated rate was 79.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 73.9. The estimated rate was 79.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 79.8. The estimated rate was 79.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 81.3. The estimated rate was 79.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 80.4. The estimated rate was 79.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 78.5. The estimated rate was 78.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 77.2. The estimated rate was 77.2.
In 2005, the observed rate was 77.3. The estimated rate was 76.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 74.5. The estimated rate was 75.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 74.5. The estimated rate was 74.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 74.4. The estimated rate was 73.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 68.8. The estimated rate was 72.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 73.9. The estimated rate was 71.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 69.1. The estimated rate was 70.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 68.8. The estimated rate was 69.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 69.5. The estimated rate was 68.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 67.1. The estimated rate was 67.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 64.3. The estimated rate was 63.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 61.2. The estimated rate was 60.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 56.7. The estimated rate was 56.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 53.4. The estimated rate was 53.7.

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