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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages <65, Both Sexes

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages <65, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1991, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.4.
During 1991-2006, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.
During 2006-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.0.
During 2015-2019, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to -1.0.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 93.0. The estimated rate was 91.6.
In 1976, the observed rate was 89.5. The estimated rate was 91.8.
In 1977, the observed rate was 91.7. The estimated rate was 91.9.
In 1978, the observed rate was 91.0. The estimated rate was 92.1.
In 1979, the observed rate was 92.8. The estimated rate was 92.2.
In 1980, the observed rate was 91.1. The estimated rate was 92.4.
In 1981, the observed rate was 93.1. The estimated rate was 92.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 94.0. The estimated rate was 92.7.
In 1983, the observed rate was 93.6. The estimated rate was 92.8.
In 1984, the observed rate was 92.1. The estimated rate was 93.0.
In 1985, the observed rate was 95.3. The estimated rate was 93.1.
In 1986, the observed rate was 94.2. The estimated rate was 93.3.
In 1987, the observed rate was 93.7. The estimated rate was 93.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 92.7. The estimated rate was 93.5.
In 1989, the observed rate was 95.7. The estimated rate was 93.7.
In 1990, the observed rate was 91.0. The estimated rate was 93.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 92.3. The estimated rate was 94.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 90.3. The estimated rate was 92.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 91.3. The estimated rate was 90.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 89.7. The estimated rate was 89.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 86.7. The estimated rate was 87.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 89.1. The estimated rate was 85.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 84.7. The estimated rate was 84.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 80.2. The estimated rate was 82.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 80.0. The estimated rate was 81.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 79.6. The estimated rate was 80.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 81.3. The estimated rate was 78.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 80.3. The estimated rate was 77.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 76.7. The estimated rate was 75.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 73.1. The estimated rate was 74.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 73.4. The estimated rate was 73.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 69.6. The estimated rate was 71.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 70.8. The estimated rate was 71.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 69.7. The estimated rate was 70.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 73.0. The estimated rate was 70.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 70.1. The estimated rate was 70.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 67.7. The estimated rate was 69.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 70.3. The estimated rate was 69.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 67.7. The estimated rate was 68.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 69.1. The estimated rate was 68.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 68.5. The estimated rate was 68.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 66.1. The estimated rate was 66.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 64.5. The estimated rate was 64.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 62.0. The estimated rate was 62.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 61.4. The estimated rate was 61.0.

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