State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.1.
During 2002-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 784.2. The estimated rate was 787.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 785.5. The estimated rate was 785.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 773.9. The estimated rate was 782.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 783.1. The estimated rate was 779.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 790.5. The estimated rate was 776.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 775.6. The estimated rate was 774.1.
In 1996, the observed rate was 781.6. The estimated rate was 771.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 770.5. The estimated rate was 768.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 751.4. The estimated rate was 765.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 747.3. The estimated rate was 763.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 760.1. The estimated rate was 760.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 763.7. The estimated rate was 757.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 762.9. The estimated rate was 755.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 746.2. The estimated rate was 746.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 718.5. The estimated rate was 737.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 732.9. The estimated rate was 728.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 711.0. The estimated rate was 719.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 719.7. The estimated rate was 710.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 696.5. The estimated rate was 702.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 681.7. The estimated rate was 693.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 696.1. The estimated rate was 685.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 669.9. The estimated rate was 677.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 672.7. The estimated rate was 669.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 669.9. The estimated rate was 661.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 666.7. The estimated rate was 653.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 658.5. The estimated rate was 645.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 656.0. The estimated rate was 637.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 628.6. The estimated rate was 629.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 618.3. The estimated rate was 622.2.
In 2019, the observed rate was 598.5. The estimated rate was 614.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 596.1. The estimated rate was 607.3.
In 2021, the observed rate was 599.0. The estimated rate was 600.0.
In 2022, the observed rate was 591.8. The estimated rate was 592.8.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/21/2025 4:49 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.