State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Louisiana, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.
During 2001-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 329.6. The estimated rate was 337.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 338.4. The estimated rate was 333.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 328.7. The estimated rate was 329.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 331.7. The estimated rate was 326.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 318.9. The estimated rate was 322.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 321.3. The estimated rate was 319.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 322.1. The estimated rate was 315.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 306.7. The estimated rate was 311.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 308.5. The estimated rate was 308.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 307.6. The estimated rate was 305.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 295.4. The estimated rate was 301.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 302.3. The estimated rate was 298.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 288.5. The estimated rate was 291.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 286.2. The estimated rate was 285.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 281.6. The estimated rate was 279.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 274.3. The estimated rate was 273.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 263.6. The estimated rate was 267.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 253.8. The estimated rate was 262.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 262.7. The estimated rate was 256.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 249.2. The estimated rate was 251.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 245.4. The estimated rate was 245.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 243.5. The estimated rate was 240.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 237.5. The estimated rate was 235.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 234.6. The estimated rate was 230.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 228.3. The estimated rate was 225.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 223.5. The estimated rate was 220.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 212.8. The estimated rate was 216.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 209.5. The estimated rate was 211.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 204.6. The estimated rate was 207.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 205.7. The estimated rate was 202.8.
In 2020, the observed rate was 196.0. The estimated rate was 198.5.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/20/2024 8:12 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.