Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, MaleMortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male
Line graph with 31 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1990-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.2.
During 1995-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 299.7. The estimated rate was 297.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 294.3. The estimated rate was 294.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 284.7. The estimated rate was 290.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 289.1. The estimated rate was 287.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 286.4. The estimated rate was 284.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 280.4. The estimated rate was 281.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 275.8. The estimated rate was 275.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 263.2. The estimated rate was 268.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 260.5. The estimated rate was 262.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 258.2. The estimated rate was 256.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 249.4. The estimated rate was 250.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 248.3. The estimated rate was 244.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 239.2. The estimated rate was 239.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 238.0. The estimated rate was 233.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 223.5. The estimated rate was 228.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 223.0. The estimated rate was 222.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 215.9. The estimated rate was 217.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 215.5. The estimated rate was 212.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 206.2. The estimated rate was 207.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 199.3. The estimated rate was 202.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 202.9. The estimated rate was 198.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 195.5. The estimated rate was 193.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 191.2. The estimated rate was 188.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 185.2. The estimated rate was 184.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 182.0. The estimated rate was 180.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 176.4. The estimated rate was 176.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 170.7. The estimated rate was 171.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 168.3. The estimated rate was 167.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 164.1. The estimated rate was 164.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 157.6. The estimated rate was 160.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 153.5. The estimated rate was 156.5.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 8:52 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.