State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 33 years and 3 segments
During 1990-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.1.
During 1995-2012, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.1.
During 2012-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 299.7. The estimated rate was 297.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 294.3. The estimated rate was 294.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 284.7. The estimated rate was 290.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 289.1. The estimated rate was 287.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 286.4. The estimated rate was 283.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 280.4. The estimated rate was 280.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 275.8. The estimated rate was 274.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 263.2. The estimated rate was 268.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 260.5. The estimated rate was 261.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 258.2. The estimated rate was 256.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 249.4. The estimated rate was 250.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 248.3. The estimated rate was 244.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 239.2. The estimated rate was 239.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 238.0. The estimated rate was 233.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 223.5. The estimated rate was 228.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 223.0. The estimated rate was 223.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 215.9. The estimated rate was 218.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 215.5. The estimated rate was 213.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 206.2. The estimated rate was 208.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 199.3. The estimated rate was 203.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 202.8. The estimated rate was 199.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 195.1. The estimated rate was 194.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 190.5. The estimated rate was 190.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 184.2. The estimated rate was 184.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 180.8. The estimated rate was 179.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 174.9. The estimated rate was 174.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 169.0. The estimated rate was 170.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 166.5. The estimated rate was 165.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 162.1. The estimated rate was 160.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 155.4. The estimated rate was 156.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 152.2. The estimated rate was 152.2.
In 2021, the observed rate was 148.7. The estimated rate was 148.0.
In 2022, the observed rate was 143.4. The estimated rate was 144.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2025 6:48 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.