State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 4.1.
During 1995-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -2.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 281.2. The estimated rate was 289.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 299.3. The estimated rate was 289.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 283.5. The estimated rate was 289.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 300.1. The estimated rate was 288.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 282.9. The estimated rate was 288.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 294.3. The estimated rate was 288.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 281.3. The estimated rate was 281.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 266.7. The estimated rate was 274.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 262.4. The estimated rate was 268.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 260.4. The estimated rate was 261.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 259.2. The estimated rate was 255.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 250.5. The estimated rate was 249.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 242.9. The estimated rate was 243.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 244.2. The estimated rate was 237.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 225.2. The estimated rate was 232.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 217.6. The estimated rate was 226.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 220.8. The estimated rate was 221.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 211.7. The estimated rate was 215.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 214.1. The estimated rate was 210.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 207.3. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 210.0. The estimated rate was 200.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 201.1. The estimated rate was 196.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 186.0. The estimated rate was 191.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 182.4. The estimated rate was 186.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 187.0. The estimated rate was 182.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 183.2. The estimated rate was 177.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 180.2. The estimated rate was 173.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 171.1. The estimated rate was 169.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 168.3. The estimated rate was 165.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 156.2. The estimated rate was 161.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 155.4. The estimated rate was 157.7.
In 2021, the observed rate was 149.7. The estimated rate was 153.9.
In 2022, the observed rate was 147.1. The estimated rate was 150.2.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/17/2025 4:15 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.