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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1979-2016)

Incidence, New Jersey, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Incidence, New Jersey, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 38 years and 5 segments
During 1979-1989, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 4.2.
During 1989-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 26.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 62.2.
During 1992-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -8.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -25.6 to 13.2.
During 1995-2001, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 6.6.
During 2001-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -2.4.
Yearly points:
In 1979, the observed rate was 101.7. The estimated rate was 102.0.
In 1980, the observed rate was 107.5. The estimated rate was 103.6.
In 1981, the observed rate was 107.0. The estimated rate was 105.2.
In 1982, the observed rate was 105.7. The estimated rate was 106.9.
In 1983, the observed rate was 107.7. The estimated rate was 108.6.
In 1984, the observed rate was 110.2. The estimated rate was 110.3.
In 1985, the observed rate was 107.1. The estimated rate was 112.1.
In 1986, the observed rate was 109.0. The estimated rate was 113.8.
In 1987, the observed rate was 115.6. The estimated rate was 115.6.
In 1988, the observed rate was 121.9. The estimated rate was 117.5.
In 1989, the observed rate was 122.8. The estimated rate was 119.3.
In 1990, the observed rate was 148.3. The estimated rate was 151.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 191.9. The estimated rate was 191.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 247.1. The estimated rate was 242.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 221.1. The estimated rate was 222.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 192.1. The estimated rate was 203.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 189.6. The estimated rate was 186.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 194.5. The estimated rate was 190.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 204.1. The estimated rate was 194.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 188.1. The estimated rate was 197.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 197.5. The estimated rate was 201.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 207.4. The estimated rate was 204.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 217.0. The estimated rate was 208.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 218.3. The estimated rate was 201.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 176.5. The estimated rate was 195.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 160.9. The estimated rate was 188.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 164.9. The estimated rate was 182.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 183.7. The estimated rate was 176.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 188.4. The estimated rate was 170.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 171.5. The estimated rate was 165.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 169.0. The estimated rate was 159.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 157.4. The estimated rate was 154.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 168.8. The estimated rate was 149.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 135.9. The estimated rate was 144.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 128.2. The estimated rate was 140.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 119.4. The estimated rate was 135.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 128.6. The estimated rate was 131.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 135.7. The estimated rate was 126.7.

Notes: