State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, New Jersey, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.
During 2001-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 770.6. The estimated rate was 779.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 771.0. The estimated rate was 770.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 746.8. The estimated rate was 761.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 762.8. The estimated rate was 752.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 751.6. The estimated rate was 743.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 743.1. The estimated rate was 734.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 732.8. The estimated rate was 726.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 717.0. The estimated rate was 717.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 703.6. The estimated rate was 709.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 701.6. The estimated rate was 700.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 689.5. The estimated rate was 692.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 686.3. The estimated rate was 684.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 664.3. The estimated rate was 670.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 662.1. The estimated rate was 656.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 630.4. The estimated rate was 642.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 622.9. The estimated rate was 628.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 615.3. The estimated rate was 615.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 606.6. The estimated rate was 602.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 591.1. The estimated rate was 589.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 568.9. The estimated rate was 577.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 571.2. The estimated rate was 564.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 560.0. The estimated rate was 552.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 540.0. The estimated rate was 541.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 525.4. The estimated rate was 529.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 525.7. The estimated rate was 518.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 508.5. The estimated rate was 507.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 503.1. The estimated rate was 496.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 491.8. The estimated rate was 486.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 476.3. The estimated rate was 476.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 459.7. The estimated rate was 466.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 448.6. The estimated rate was 456.2.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/24/2024 5:12 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.