State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, New York, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, New York, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 3 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 1.5.
During 1994-2016, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.
During 2016-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 252.1. The estimated rate was 244.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 243.7. The estimated rate was 243.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 235.9. The estimated rate was 243.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 228.4. The estimated rate was 242.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 252.8. The estimated rate was 241.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 241.6. The estimated rate was 236.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 235.0. The estimated rate was 232.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 230.7. The estimated rate was 227.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 225.2. The estimated rate was 223.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 220.4. The estimated rate was 219.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 213.3. The estimated rate was 215.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 214.1. The estimated rate was 211.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 205.5. The estimated rate was 207.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 194.0. The estimated rate was 203.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 196.8. The estimated rate was 199.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 192.8. The estimated rate was 195.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 185.1. The estimated rate was 191.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 189.8. The estimated rate was 188.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 182.1. The estimated rate was 184.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 182.5. The estimated rate was 181.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 176.0. The estimated rate was 177.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 179.8. The estimated rate was 174.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 175.0. The estimated rate was 170.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 168.9. The estimated rate was 167.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 164.1. The estimated rate was 164.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 160.6. The estimated rate was 161.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 159.4. The estimated rate was 158.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 149.6. The estimated rate was 152.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 148.5. The estimated rate was 146.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 144.8. The estimated rate was 141.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 133.9. The estimated rate was 136.4.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/01/2024 11:40 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.