State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, New York, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, New York, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 5 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.5.
During 1994-2006, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.
During 2006-2012, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.9.
During 2012-2017, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.6.
During 2017-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -2.7.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 710.8. The estimated rate was 708.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 708.4. The estimated rate was 707.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 705.1. The estimated rate was 707.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 699.3. The estimated rate was 707.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 710.0. The estimated rate was 706.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 698.0. The estimated rate was 694.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 684.8. The estimated rate was 682.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 665.3. The estimated rate was 670.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 651.5. The estimated rate was 658.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 655.1. The estimated rate was 647.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 639.7. The estimated rate was 635.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 625.2. The estimated rate was 624.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 614.5. The estimated rate was 613.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 601.2. The estimated rate was 603.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 593.8. The estimated rate was 592.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 580.1. The estimated rate was 582.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 572.2. The estimated rate was 572.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 566.7. The estimated rate was 564.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 557.0. The estimated rate was 557.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 548.0. The estimated rate was 550.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 544.1. The estimated rate was 543.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 535.8. The estimated rate was 537.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 532.9. The estimated rate was 530.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 522.0. The estimated rate was 519.1.
In 2014, the observed rate was 505.3. The estimated rate was 508.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 494.2. The estimated rate was 497.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 489.1. The estimated rate was 486.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 476.4. The estimated rate was 476.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 460.3. The estimated rate was 459.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 442.1. The estimated rate was 442.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 427.2. The estimated rate was 427.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 9:06 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.