State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Massachusetts, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, Massachusetts, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1999, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.9.
During 1999-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -2.1.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 285.7. The estimated rate was 294.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 291.8. The estimated rate was 291.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 297.4. The estimated rate was 287.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 282.7. The estimated rate was 283.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 280.5. The estimated rate was 280.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 280.4. The estimated rate was 276.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 276.9. The estimated rate was 273.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 262.1. The estimated rate was 269.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 264.5. The estimated rate was 266.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 263.5. The estimated rate was 262.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 258.0. The estimated rate was 257.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 248.1. The estimated rate was 251.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 248.4. The estimated rate was 245.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 239.3. The estimated rate was 240.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 232.2. The estimated rate was 235.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 228.3. The estimated rate was 230.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 231.6. The estimated rate was 224.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 221.2. The estimated rate was 219.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 216.0. The estimated rate was 215.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 208.0. The estimated rate was 210.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 207.4. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 202.6. The estimated rate was 201.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 194.5. The estimated rate was 196.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 190.1. The estimated rate was 192.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 188.0. The estimated rate was 188.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 180.9. The estimated rate was 183.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 181.0. The estimated rate was 179.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 178.7. The estimated rate was 175.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 173.8. The estimated rate was 172.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 168.5. The estimated rate was 168.2.
In 2020, the observed rate was 162.1. The estimated rate was 164.5.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 02/07/2023 12:47 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.