State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Massachusetts, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Massachusetts, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 9.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.9 to 28.1.
During 1992-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 249.5. The estimated rate was 245.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 259.3. The estimated rate was 267.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 299.8. The estimated rate was 292.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 254.5. The estimated rate was 284.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 269.2. The estimated rate was 276.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 280.5. The estimated rate was 268.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 262.9. The estimated rate was 260.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 264.0. The estimated rate was 253.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 244.6. The estimated rate was 246.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 237.2. The estimated rate was 239.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 238.5. The estimated rate was 232.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 213.9. The estimated rate was 225.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 224.0. The estimated rate was 219.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 236.4. The estimated rate was 213.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 196.5. The estimated rate was 207.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 198.8. The estimated rate was 201.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 202.3. The estimated rate was 195.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 187.8. The estimated rate was 189.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 182.3. The estimated rate was 184.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 174.4. The estimated rate was 179.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 172.3. The estimated rate was 174.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 175.5. The estimated rate was 169.3.
In 2012, the observed rate was 170.2. The estimated rate was 164.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 165.8. The estimated rate was 159.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 149.9. The estimated rate was 155.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 136.8. The estimated rate was 150.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 141.2. The estimated rate was 146.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 146.4. The estimated rate was 142.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 134.0. The estimated rate was 138.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 134.6. The estimated rate was 134.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 137.6. The estimated rate was 130.7.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/03/2024 12:26 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.