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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 45 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1984, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.8.
During 1984-1993, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.
During 1993-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.
During 2015-2019, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 251.7. The estimated rate was 252.8.
In 1976, the observed rate was 254.3. The estimated rate was 254.1.
In 1977, the observed rate was 253.7. The estimated rate was 255.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 260.4. The estimated rate was 256.6.
In 1979, the observed rate was 256.8. The estimated rate was 257.9.
In 1980, the observed rate was 259.2. The estimated rate was 259.2.
In 1981, the observed rate was 259.8. The estimated rate was 260.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 265.5. The estimated rate was 261.8.
In 1983, the observed rate was 259.7. The estimated rate was 263.1.
In 1984, the observed rate was 264.2. The estimated rate was 264.4.
In 1985, the observed rate was 262.5. The estimated rate was 262.3.
In 1986, the observed rate was 259.6. The estimated rate was 260.2.
In 1987, the observed rate was 258.4. The estimated rate was 258.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 257.4. The estimated rate was 256.1.
In 1989, the observed rate was 252.0. The estimated rate was 254.1.
In 1990, the observed rate was 253.2. The estimated rate was 252.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 252.0. The estimated rate was 250.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 247.1. The estimated rate was 248.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 245.9. The estimated rate was 246.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 242.5. The estimated rate was 241.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 239.9. The estimated rate was 237.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 231.3. The estimated rate was 233.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 231.4. The estimated rate was 229.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 221.7. The estimated rate was 225.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 224.0. The estimated rate was 222.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 217.2. The estimated rate was 218.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 215.6. The estimated rate was 214.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 212.8. The estimated rate was 211.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 207.2. The estimated rate was 207.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 202.3. The estimated rate was 203.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 201.8. The estimated rate was 200.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 195.1. The estimated rate was 197.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 195.0. The estimated rate was 193.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 187.5. The estimated rate was 190.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 188.3. The estimated rate was 187.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 184.1. The estimated rate was 184.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 180.7. The estimated rate was 180.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 177.8. The estimated rate was 177.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 174.6. The estimated rate was 174.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 171.6. The estimated rate was 171.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 170.0. The estimated rate was 168.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 165.3. The estimated rate was 165.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 160.5. The estimated rate was 161.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 159.1. The estimated rate was 157.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 153.6. The estimated rate was 154.2.

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