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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1985, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 0.9.
During 1985-1993, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.2.
During 1993-2002, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
During 2002-2018, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 639.5. The estimated rate was 643.6.
In 1976, the observed rate was 648.0. The estimated rate was 648.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 653.1. The estimated rate was 652.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 663.7. The estimated rate was 656.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 657.8. The estimated rate was 661.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 664.8. The estimated rate was 665.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 668.6. The estimated rate was 670.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 683.0. The estimated rate was 675.1.
In 1983, the observed rate was 674.7. The estimated rate was 679.7.
In 1984, the observed rate was 687.9. The estimated rate was 684.3.
In 1985, the observed rate was 685.8. The estimated rate was 689.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 682.8. The estimated rate was 685.9.
In 1987, the observed rate was 686.5. The estimated rate was 682.8.
In 1988, the observed rate was 680.4. The estimated rate was 679.7.
In 1989, the observed rate was 674.6. The estimated rate was 676.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 671.5. The estimated rate was 673.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 674.5. The estimated rate was 670.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 665.4. The estimated rate was 667.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 663.9. The estimated rate was 664.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 662.3. The estimated rate was 656.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 651.3. The estimated rate was 647.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 634.6. The estimated rate was 639.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 632.3. The estimated rate was 631.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 610.7. The estimated rate was 623.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 619.5. The estimated rate was 615.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 607.9. The estimated rate was 608.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 603.0. The estimated rate was 600.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 594.3. The estimated rate was 592.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 582.9. The estimated rate was 583.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 567.6. The estimated rate was 573.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 567.5. The estimated rate was 564.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 551.7. The estimated rate was 555.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 550.3. The estimated rate was 546.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 534.5. The estimated rate was 537.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 532.7. The estimated rate was 528.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 524.0. The estimated rate was 520.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 511.6. The estimated rate was 511.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 507.3. The estimated rate was 503.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 494.8. The estimated rate was 495.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 486.8. The estimated rate was 487.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 484.0. The estimated rate was 479.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 472.0. The estimated rate was 471.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 461.3. The estimated rate was 464.2.
In 2018, the observed rate was 453.1. The estimated rate was 456.7.

Notes: