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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1982, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 1.6.
During 1982-1993, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.
During 1993-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.
During 2005-2018, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 1,004.3. The estimated rate was 1,002.1.
In 1976, the observed rate was 1,013.7. The estimated rate was 1,014.2.
In 1977, the observed rate was 1,024.2. The estimated rate was 1,026.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 1,051.0. The estimated rate was 1,038.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 1,039.8. The estimated rate was 1,051.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 1,062.8. The estimated rate was 1,064.1.
In 1981, the observed rate was 1,066.6. The estimated rate was 1,077.0.
In 1982, the observed rate was 1,095.5. The estimated rate was 1,090.0.
In 1983, the observed rate was 1,082.0. The estimated rate was 1,091.0.
In 1984, the observed rate was 1,092.8. The estimated rate was 1,092.0.
In 1985, the observed rate was 1,099.0. The estimated rate was 1,093.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 1,101.9. The estimated rate was 1,093.9.
In 1987, the observed rate was 1,103.7. The estimated rate was 1,094.9.
In 1988, the observed rate was 1,097.4. The estimated rate was 1,095.9.
In 1989, the observed rate was 1,091.7. The estimated rate was 1,096.9.
In 1990, the observed rate was 1,094.6. The estimated rate was 1,097.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 1,101.0. The estimated rate was 1,098.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 1,096.9. The estimated rate was 1,099.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 1,098.0. The estimated rate was 1,100.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 1,095.1. The estimated rate was 1,090.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 1,081.3. The estimated rate was 1,079.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 1,060.6. The estimated rate was 1,068.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 1,058.0. The estimated rate was 1,058.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 1,027.4. The estimated rate was 1,048.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 1,052.2. The estimated rate was 1,038.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 1,033.3. The estimated rate was 1,027.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 1,027.8. The estimated rate was 1,017.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 1,015.2. The estimated rate was 1,007.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 998.5. The estimated rate was 998.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 974.1. The estimated rate was 988.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 980.9. The estimated rate was 978.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 953.7. The estimated rate was 963.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 952.5. The estimated rate was 948.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 924.0. The estimated rate was 933.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 925.6. The estimated rate was 918.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 910.0. The estimated rate was 903.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 886.9. The estimated rate was 889.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 880.7. The estimated rate was 875.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 858.3. The estimated rate was 861.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 845.1. The estimated rate was 848.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 842.3. The estimated rate was 834.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 821.5. The estimated rate was 821.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 806.0. The estimated rate was 808.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 792.5. The estimated rate was 795.7.

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