State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Mortality, California, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.4.
During 2001-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 1,094.6. The estimated rate was 1,110.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 1,101.0. The estimated rate was 1,102.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 1,096.9. The estimated rate was 1,095.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 1,098.0. The estimated rate was 1,087.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 1,095.1. The estimated rate was 1,080.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 1,081.3. The estimated rate was 1,072.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 1,060.6. The estimated rate was 1,065.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 1,058.0. The estimated rate was 1,057.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 1,027.4. The estimated rate was 1,050.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 1,052.2. The estimated rate was 1,043.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 1,033.3. The estimated rate was 1,035.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 1,027.8. The estimated rate was 1,028.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 1,015.2. The estimated rate was 1,014.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 998.5. The estimated rate was 1,000.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 974.1. The estimated rate was 986.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 980.9. The estimated rate was 972.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 953.7. The estimated rate was 958.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 952.5. The estimated rate was 945.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 924.0. The estimated rate was 932.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 925.6. The estimated rate was 919.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 910.6. The estimated rate was 906.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 890.1. The estimated rate was 893.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 886.5. The estimated rate was 881.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 866.5. The estimated rate was 868.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 855.5. The estimated rate was 856.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 855.1. The estimated rate was 844.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 836.6. The estimated rate was 832.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 823.4. The estimated rate was 821.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 812.8. The estimated rate was 809.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 792.0. The estimated rate was 798.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 779.4. The estimated rate was 787.3.
In 2021, the observed rate was 768.6. The estimated rate was 776.3.
In 2022, the observed rate was 771.9. The estimated rate was 765.5.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2025 7:35 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.