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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2015)

Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, All Cancer Sites, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 41 years and 5 segments
During 1975-1990, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 0.5.
During 1990-1994, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.1.
During 1994-1998, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.8.
During 1998-2001, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.2.
During 2001-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.4.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 196.3. The estimated rate was 198.1.
In 1976, the observed rate was 199.4. The estimated rate was 199.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 199.7. The estimated rate was 199.8.
In 1978, the observed rate was 201.1. The estimated rate was 200.6.
In 1979, the observed rate was 201.2. The estimated rate was 201.5.
In 1980, the observed rate was 203.3. The estimated rate was 202.3.
In 1981, the observed rate was 202.6. The estimated rate was 203.2.
In 1982, the observed rate was 204.5. The estimated rate was 204.0.
In 1983, the observed rate was 205.2. The estimated rate was 204.9.
In 1984, the observed rate was 206.7. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 207.3. The estimated rate was 206.6.
In 1986, the observed rate was 207.7. The estimated rate was 207.5.
In 1987, the observed rate was 207.8. The estimated rate was 208.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 208.5. The estimated rate was 209.2.
In 1989, the observed rate was 210.0. The estimated rate was 210.1.
In 1990, the observed rate was 210.4. The estimated rate was 211.0.
In 1991, the observed rate was 210.6. The estimated rate was 210.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 209.2. The estimated rate was 209.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 209.2. The estimated rate was 208.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 207.8. The estimated rate was 208.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 206.1. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 203.4. The estimated rate was 203.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 199.9. The estimated rate was 200.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 197.6. The estimated rate was 198.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 197.8. The estimated rate was 196.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 196.4. The estimated rate was 195.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 194.0. The estimated rate was 194.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 192.4. The estimated rate was 191.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 189.1. The estimated rate was 189.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 185.2. The estimated rate was 186.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 183.9. The estimated rate was 183.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 181.1. The estimated rate was 181.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 178.3. The estimated rate was 178.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 175.7. The estimated rate was 176.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 173.0. The estimated rate was 173.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 171.4. The estimated rate was 171.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 168.5. The estimated rate was 168.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 166.4. The estimated rate was 166.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 163.5. The estimated rate was 163.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 161.8. The estimated rate was 161.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 159.4. The estimated rate was 159.2.

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Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 41 years and 5 segments
During 1975-1983, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 1.6.
During 1983-1991, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 0.9.
During 1991-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
During 1995-2001, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.3.
During 2001-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 235.5. The estimated rate was 237.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 241.8. The estimated rate was 240.9.
In 1977, the observed rate was 246.4. The estimated rate was 244.1.
In 1978, the observed rate was 247.2. The estimated rate was 247.4.
In 1979, the observed rate was 249.0. The estimated rate was 250.7.
In 1980, the observed rate was 256.2. The estimated rate was 254.1.
In 1981, the observed rate was 256.8. The estimated rate was 257.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 260.4. The estimated rate was 260.9.
In 1983, the observed rate was 263.8. The estimated rate was 264.4.
In 1984, the observed rate was 268.1. The estimated rate was 266.2.
In 1985, the observed rate was 268.1. The estimated rate was 268.1.
In 1986, the observed rate was 269.4. The estimated rate was 269.9.
In 1987, the observed rate was 271.1. The estimated rate was 271.7.
In 1988, the observed rate was 271.6. The estimated rate was 273.6.
In 1989, the observed rate was 275.9. The estimated rate was 275.5.
In 1990, the observed rate was 279.3. The estimated rate was 277.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 279.0. The estimated rate was 279.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 274.9. The estimated rate was 276.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 277.1. The estimated rate was 274.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 272.0. The estimated rate was 272.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 269.5. The estimated rate was 270.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 265.3. The estimated rate was 265.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 262.1. The estimated rate was 261.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 255.7. The estimated rate was 257.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 253.8. The estimated rate was 252.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 248.1. The estimated rate was 248.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 244.3. The estimated rate was 244.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 240.8. The estimated rate was 239.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 235.2. The estimated rate was 234.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 229.0. The estimated rate was 229.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 224.8. The estimated rate was 224.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 218.9. The estimated rate was 220.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 216.2. The estimated rate was 215.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 209.4. The estimated rate was 210.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 205.4. The estimated rate was 206.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 202.9. The estimated rate was 202.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 199.1. The estimated rate was 197.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 194.1. The estimated rate was 193.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 189.7. The estimated rate was 189.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 186.4. The estimated rate was 185.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 181.0. The estimated rate was 181.8.

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Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, All Cancer Sites, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 41 years and 6 segments
During 1975-1982, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.3.
During 1982-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 2.1.
During 1992-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to 0.9.
During 1995-1998, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 4.4.
During 1998-2008, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.0.
During 2008-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.9.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 402.2. The estimated rate was 402.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 409.8. The estimated rate was 406.1.
In 1977, the observed rate was 409.3. The estimated rate was 409.6.
In 1978, the observed rate was 409.8. The estimated rate was 413.0.
In 1979, the observed rate was 414.1. The estimated rate was 416.5.
In 1980, the observed rate was 419.5. The estimated rate was 420.0.
In 1981, the observed rate was 427.7. The estimated rate was 423.6.
In 1982, the observed rate was 427.7. The estimated rate was 427.2.
In 1983, the observed rate was 434.3. The estimated rate was 434.9.
In 1984, the observed rate was 443.6. The estimated rate was 442.9.
In 1985, the observed rate was 453.5. The estimated rate was 450.9.
In 1986, the observed rate was 456.0. The estimated rate was 459.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 475.0. The estimated rate was 467.5.
In 1988, the observed rate was 470.3. The estimated rate was 476.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 475.4. The estimated rate was 484.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 489.0. The estimated rate was 493.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 510.6. The estimated rate was 502.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 517.0. The estimated rate was 511.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 497.1. The estimated rate was 500.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 487.7. The estimated rate was 490.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 482.5. The estimated rate was 479.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 485.3. The estimated rate was 486.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 493.8. The estimated rate was 492.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 496.9. The estimated rate was 499.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 498.9. The estimated rate was 497.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 497.1. The estimated rate was 496.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 501.7. The estimated rate was 495.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 498.3. The estimated rate was 494.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 486.8. The estimated rate was 493.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 487.3. The estimated rate was 492.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 485.2. The estimated rate was 490.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 488.9. The estimated rate was 489.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 494.0. The estimated rate was 488.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 486.8. The estimated rate was 487.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 485.6. The estimated rate was 481.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 476.3. The estimated rate was 474.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 470.9. The estimated rate was 468.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 457.0. The estimated rate was 462.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 451.8. The estimated rate was 456.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 451.4. The estimated rate was 450.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 447.8. The estimated rate was 444.5.

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Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 41 years and 6 segments
During 1975-1984, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.2 to 2.1.
During 1984-1989, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.7.
During 1989-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 8.7.
During 1992-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to 1.8.
During 1995-2009, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to -0.3.
During 2009-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 426.6. The estimated rate was 424.4.
In 1976, the observed rate was 427.6. The estimated rate was 431.3.
In 1977, the observed rate was 443.0. The estimated rate was 438.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 436.7. The estimated rate was 445.4.
In 1979, the observed rate was 451.7. The estimated rate was 452.7.
In 1980, the observed rate was 467.5. The estimated rate was 460.0.
In 1981, the observed rate was 473.0. The estimated rate was 467.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 465.3. The estimated rate was 475.1.
In 1983, the observed rate was 487.3. The estimated rate was 482.8.
In 1984, the observed rate was 488.3. The estimated rate was 490.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 489.4. The estimated rate was 492.5.
In 1986, the observed rate was 493.7. The estimated rate was 494.3.
In 1987, the observed rate was 501.2. The estimated rate was 496.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 504.6. The estimated rate was 498.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 493.0. The estimated rate was 499.8.
In 1990, the observed rate was 522.4. The estimated rate was 523.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 549.5. The estimated rate was 548.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 570.3. The estimated rate was 574.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 570.0. The estimated rate was 565.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 558.7. The estimated rate was 556.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 544.5. The estimated rate was 547.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 542.8. The estimated rate was 544.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 543.2. The estimated rate was 542.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 541.0. The estimated rate was 539.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 544.1. The estimated rate was 537.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 531.6. The estimated rate was 534.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 524.2. The estimated rate was 531.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 538.0. The estimated rate was 529.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 523.1. The estimated rate was 526.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 527.2. The estimated rate was 524.2.
In 2005, the observed rate was 512.6. The estimated rate was 521.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 512.6. The estimated rate was 519.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 521.1. The estimated rate was 516.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 519.8. The estimated rate was 514.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 512.7. The estimated rate was 511.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 493.5. The estimated rate was 499.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 488.0. The estimated rate was 487.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 483.0. The estimated rate was 476.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 467.7. The estimated rate was 464.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 447.9. The estimated rate was 453.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 443.3. The estimated rate was 442.9.

Notes: