State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, United States**, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 3 segments
During 1990-1998, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.5.
During 1998-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.1.
During 2018-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -0.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 136.2. The estimated rate was 136.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 136.8. The estimated rate was 136.6.
In 1992, the observed rate was 136.2. The estimated rate was 136.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 136.2. The estimated rate was 137.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 137.8. The estimated rate was 137.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 139.2. The estimated rate was 137.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 138.4. The estimated rate was 137.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 136.9. The estimated rate was 137.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 137.2. The estimated rate was 138.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 136.1. The estimated rate was 136.5.
In 2000, the observed rate was 134.5. The estimated rate was 134.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 134.4. The estimated rate was 133.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 133.1. The estimated rate was 131.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 131.2. The estimated rate was 130.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 127.4. The estimated rate was 128.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 129.3. The estimated rate was 127.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 124.9. The estimated rate was 125.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 122.8. The estimated rate was 124.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 121.9. The estimated rate was 122.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 120.5. The estimated rate was 121.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 119.1. The estimated rate was 119.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 118.1. The estimated rate was 118.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 118.1. The estimated rate was 117.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 115.9. The estimated rate was 115.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 114.7. The estimated rate was 114.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 112.9. The estimated rate was 113.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 111.8. The estimated rate was 111.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 110.4. The estimated rate was 110.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 109.1. The estimated rate was 109.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 106.7. The estimated rate was 106.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 104.1. The estimated rate was 104.2.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/24/2024 6:15 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
  
  ** Hispanic mortality data for the United States has been excluded for the following states: Louisiana, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma. The data on Hispanic and non-Hispanic mortality for these states may be unreliable for the time period used in the generation of the trend (1992-2019) and has been excluded from the calculation of the United States trend. This was based on the NCHS Policy.