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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Mortality, United States, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 0.9.
During 1992-2001, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.4.
During 2001-2011, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.
During 2011-2018, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 995.2. The estimated rate was 1,007.9.
In 1976, the observed rate was 1,018.3. The estimated rate was 1,016.6.
In 1977, the observed rate was 1,023.3. The estimated rate was 1,025.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 1,035.4. The estimated rate was 1,034.1.
In 1979, the observed rate was 1,042.7. The estimated rate was 1,042.9.
In 1980, the observed rate was 1,059.1. The estimated rate was 1,051.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 1,060.7. The estimated rate was 1,060.9.
In 1982, the observed rate was 1,074.6. The estimated rate was 1,069.9.
In 1983, the observed rate was 1,083.5. The estimated rate was 1,079.1.
In 1984, the observed rate was 1,093.0. The estimated rate was 1,088.4.
In 1985, the observed rate was 1,097.2. The estimated rate was 1,097.7.
In 1986, the observed rate was 1,107.5. The estimated rate was 1,107.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 1,111.8. The estimated rate was 1,116.6.
In 1988, the observed rate was 1,120.3. The estimated rate was 1,126.1.
In 1989, the observed rate was 1,139.1. The estimated rate was 1,135.8.
In 1990, the observed rate was 1,147.4. The estimated rate was 1,145.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 1,154.0. The estimated rate was 1,155.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 1,153.7. The estimated rate was 1,165.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 1,161.8. The estimated rate was 1,158.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 1,157.0. The estimated rate was 1,152.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 1,153.6. The estimated rate was 1,146.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 1,142.2. The estimated rate was 1,140.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 1,128.5. The estimated rate was 1,133.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 1,119.6. The estimated rate was 1,127.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 1,125.9. The estimated rate was 1,121.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 1,119.8. The estimated rate was 1,115.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 1,104.4. The estimated rate was 1,109.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 1,097.2. The estimated rate was 1,094.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 1,079.7. The estimated rate was 1,079.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 1,060.8. The estimated rate was 1,065.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 1,053.2. The estimated rate was 1,050.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 1,036.1. The estimated rate was 1,036.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 1,025.1. The estimated rate was 1,022.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 1,009.5. The estimated rate was 1,008.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 989.8. The estimated rate was 994.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 984.1. The estimated rate was 981.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 966.2. The estimated rate was 968.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 950.5. The estimated rate was 951.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 932.9. The estimated rate was 935.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 921.3. The estimated rate was 919.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 908.2. The estimated rate was 903.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 891.0. The estimated rate was 888.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 873.9. The estimated rate was 873.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 853.3. The estimated rate was 858.2.

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