Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Alabama, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both SexesMortality, Alabama, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes
Line graph with 31 years and 3 segmentsDuring 1990-1997, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.5.
During 1997-2009, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.
During 2009-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 718.6. The estimated rate was 720.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 721.2. The estimated rate was 721.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 724.9. The estimated rate was 722.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 718.8. The estimated rate was 723.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 729.8. The estimated rate was 723.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 725.3. The estimated rate was 724.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 726.9. The estimated rate was 725.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 721.7. The estimated rate was 726.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 722.7. The estimated rate was 719.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 698.0. The estimated rate was 712.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 711.9. The estimated rate was 706.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 707.1. The estimated rate was 699.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 693.4. The estimated rate was 692.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 691.2. The estimated rate was 686.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 676.8. The estimated rate was 680.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 678.5. The estimated rate was 673.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 661.9. The estimated rate was 667.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 655.6. The estimated rate was 661.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 654.7. The estimated rate was 654.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 651.7. The estimated rate was 648.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 637.6. The estimated rate was 637.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 625.4. The estimated rate was 626.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 613.9. The estimated rate was 616.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 606.7. The estimated rate was 605.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 591.1. The estimated rate was 595.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 588.6. The estimated rate was 585.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 578.9. The estimated rate was 574.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 565.7. The estimated rate was 565.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 564.6. The estimated rate was 555.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 536.5. The estimated rate was 545.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 535.1. The estimated rate was 536.6.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 9:42 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.