State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Alaska, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, Alaska, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2012, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.8.
During 2012-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 721.3. The estimated rate was 756.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 746.8. The estimated rate was 747.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 764.5. The estimated rate was 738.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 769.8. The estimated rate was 730.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 735.2. The estimated rate was 722.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 687.9. The estimated rate was 713.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 752.5. The estimated rate was 705.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 659.8. The estimated rate was 697.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 676.9. The estimated rate was 689.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 661.8. The estimated rate was 681.5.
In 2000, the observed rate was 712.2. The estimated rate was 673.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 667.7. The estimated rate was 666.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 657.2. The estimated rate was 658.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 647.2. The estimated rate was 650.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 627.9. The estimated rate was 643.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 584.3. The estimated rate was 635.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 606.7. The estimated rate was 628.6.
In 2007, the observed rate was 633.6. The estimated rate was 621.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 627.1. The estimated rate was 614.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 637.9. The estimated rate was 607.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 599.6. The estimated rate was 600.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 601.2. The estimated rate was 593.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 577.8. The estimated rate was 586.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 590.0. The estimated rate was 571.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 556.9. The estimated rate was 556.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 546.2. The estimated rate was 542.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 535.0. The estimated rate was 527.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 471.0. The estimated rate was 514.2.
In 2018, the observed rate was 480.2. The estimated rate was 500.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 505.5. The estimated rate was 487.8.
In 2020, the observed rate was 490.3. The estimated rate was 475.1.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 5:12 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.