State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (2002-2020)

Incidence, Arizona, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Incidence, Arizona, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 19 years and 1 segments
During 2002-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
Yearly points:
In 2002, the observed rate was 493.4. The estimated rate was 498.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 498.1. The estimated rate was 491.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 479.8. The estimated rate was 485.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 478.6. The estimated rate was 479.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 484.0. The estimated rate was 473.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 484.1. The estimated rate was 467.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 456.7. The estimated rate was 461.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 460.9. The estimated rate was 455.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 440.8. The estimated rate was 449.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 442.3. The estimated rate was 443.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 417.0. The estimated rate was 438.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 423.2. The estimated rate was 432.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 429.9. The estimated rate was 427.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 424.2. The estimated rate was 421.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 414.0. The estimated rate was 416.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 420.4. The estimated rate was 411.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 412.4. The estimated rate was 405.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 398.2. The estimated rate was 400.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 351.0. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 10:45 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
  
  Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.