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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2016)

Mortality, Arizona, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Arizona, Lung & Bronchus, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 42 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1991, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 2.2.
During 1991-2004, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.
During 2004-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -2.4.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 38.5. The estimated rate was 40.9.
In 1976, the observed rate was 41.9. The estimated rate was 41.7.
In 1977, the observed rate was 40.8. The estimated rate was 42.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 42.4. The estimated rate was 43.2.
In 1979, the observed rate was 43.0. The estimated rate was 44.0.
In 1980, the observed rate was 48.4. The estimated rate was 44.8.
In 1981, the observed rate was 46.9. The estimated rate was 45.6.
In 1982, the observed rate was 47.4. The estimated rate was 46.4.
In 1983, the observed rate was 46.2. The estimated rate was 47.2.
In 1984, the observed rate was 48.3. The estimated rate was 48.1.
In 1985, the observed rate was 49.1. The estimated rate was 49.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 48.4. The estimated rate was 49.8.
In 1987, the observed rate was 53.4. The estimated rate was 50.7.
In 1988, the observed rate was 54.0. The estimated rate was 51.7.
In 1989, the observed rate was 50.2. The estimated rate was 52.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 53.0. The estimated rate was 53.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 54.5. The estimated rate was 54.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 54.6. The estimated rate was 53.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 53.2. The estimated rate was 53.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 52.4. The estimated rate was 52.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 50.6. The estimated rate was 51.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 50.8. The estimated rate was 50.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 50.1. The estimated rate was 50.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 47.7. The estimated rate was 49.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 49.4. The estimated rate was 48.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 48.2. The estimated rate was 48.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 45.7. The estimated rate was 47.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 47.7. The estimated rate was 46.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 48.2. The estimated rate was 46.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 46.2. The estimated rate was 45.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 43.8. The estimated rate was 44.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 43.7. The estimated rate was 43.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 40.6. The estimated rate was 41.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 40.2. The estimated rate was 40.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 40.0. The estimated rate was 39.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 38.7. The estimated rate was 38.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 36.7. The estimated rate was 37.3.
In 2012, the observed rate was 37.2. The estimated rate was 36.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 35.6. The estimated rate was 35.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 33.5. The estimated rate was 34.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 34.9. The estimated rate was 33.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 30.8. The estimated rate was 32.3.

Notes: