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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Arizona, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, Arizona, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1991, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.0.
During 1991-2015, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.3.
During 2015-2019, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 567.5. The estimated rate was 585.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 601.3. The estimated rate was 590.1.
In 1977, the observed rate was 581.2. The estimated rate was 594.5.
In 1978, the observed rate was 595.6. The estimated rate was 598.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 598.1. The estimated rate was 603.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 622.2. The estimated rate was 607.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 621.3. The estimated rate was 612.4.
In 1982, the observed rate was 619.6. The estimated rate was 617.0.
In 1983, the observed rate was 622.9. The estimated rate was 621.6.
In 1984, the observed rate was 627.0. The estimated rate was 626.3.
In 1985, the observed rate was 640.7. The estimated rate was 631.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 635.6. The estimated rate was 635.7.
In 1987, the observed rate was 645.8. The estimated rate was 640.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 636.5. The estimated rate was 645.2.
In 1989, the observed rate was 640.0. The estimated rate was 650.0.
In 1990, the observed rate was 653.2. The estimated rate was 654.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 658.6. The estimated rate was 659.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 658.9. The estimated rate was 650.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 642.8. The estimated rate was 642.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 639.1. The estimated rate was 633.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 617.3. The estimated rate was 624.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 613.9. The estimated rate was 616.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 599.1. The estimated rate was 608.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 576.9. The estimated rate was 599.8.
In 1999, the observed rate was 598.4. The estimated rate was 591.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 587.4. The estimated rate was 583.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 576.4. The estimated rate was 575.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 574.6. The estimated rate was 568.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 577.4. The estimated rate was 560.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 557.0. The estimated rate was 552.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 550.3. The estimated rate was 545.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 536.8. The estimated rate was 537.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 532.8. The estimated rate was 530.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 513.5. The estimated rate was 523.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 508.2. The estimated rate was 516.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 514.4. The estimated rate was 509.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 498.6. The estimated rate was 502.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 497.9. The estimated rate was 495.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 492.0. The estimated rate was 488.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 480.3. The estimated rate was 482.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 476.6. The estimated rate was 475.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 464.3. The estimated rate was 464.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 450.9. The estimated rate was 454.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 439.9. The estimated rate was 443.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 437.5. The estimated rate was 433.3.

Notes: