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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, Arkansas, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Arkansas, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1991, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 3.0.
During 1991-2008, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.5.
During 2008-2018, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 196.9. The estimated rate was 188.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 196.7. The estimated rate was 193.6.
In 1977, the observed rate was 200.3. The estimated rate was 198.6.
In 1978, the observed rate was 198.8. The estimated rate was 203.7.
In 1979, the observed rate was 203.1. The estimated rate was 209.0.
In 1980, the observed rate was 215.9. The estimated rate was 214.3.
In 1981, the observed rate was 216.9. The estimated rate was 219.9.
In 1982, the observed rate was 223.0. The estimated rate was 225.5.
In 1983, the observed rate was 237.5. The estimated rate was 231.4.
In 1984, the observed rate was 243.2. The estimated rate was 237.3.
In 1985, the observed rate was 233.7. The estimated rate was 243.5.
In 1986, the observed rate was 234.0. The estimated rate was 249.7.
In 1987, the observed rate was 253.8. The estimated rate was 256.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 258.4. The estimated rate was 262.8.
In 1989, the observed rate was 276.2. The estimated rate was 269.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 293.8. The estimated rate was 276.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 271.2. The estimated rate was 283.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 290.0. The estimated rate was 281.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 286.4. The estimated rate was 278.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 272.2. The estimated rate was 275.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 283.0. The estimated rate was 273.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 258.9. The estimated rate was 270.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 268.8. The estimated rate was 268.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 258.0. The estimated rate was 265.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 269.7. The estimated rate was 263.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 260.4. The estimated rate was 261.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 243.9. The estimated rate was 258.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 260.5. The estimated rate was 256.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 260.7. The estimated rate was 253.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 248.4. The estimated rate was 251.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 260.1. The estimated rate was 249.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 242.9. The estimated rate was 246.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 240.7. The estimated rate was 244.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 250.9. The estimated rate was 242.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 239.6. The estimated rate was 236.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 225.4. The estimated rate was 231.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 223.4. The estimated rate was 226.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 213.2. The estimated rate was 221.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 209.4. The estimated rate was 216.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 212.4. The estimated rate was 211.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 207.9. The estimated rate was 206.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 222.9. The estimated rate was 201.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 190.6. The estimated rate was 196.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 186.0. The estimated rate was 192.4.

Notes: