State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Arkansas, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2011, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.5.
During 2011-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 734.8. The estimated rate was 739.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 711.7. The estimated rate was 735.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 731.2. The estimated rate was 730.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 732.2. The estimated rate was 726.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 718.9. The estimated rate was 721.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 731.1. The estimated rate was 717.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 713.6. The estimated rate was 713.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 714.6. The estimated rate was 708.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 697.5. The estimated rate was 704.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 708.4. The estimated rate was 700.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 692.4. The estimated rate was 696.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 688.5. The estimated rate was 692.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 706.9. The estimated rate was 687.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 678.2. The estimated rate was 683.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 691.1. The estimated rate was 679.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 687.0. The estimated rate was 675.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 656.2. The estimated rate was 671.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 663.5. The estimated rate was 667.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 673.6. The estimated rate was 663.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 656.2. The estimated rate was 659.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 643.8. The estimated rate was 655.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 640.6. The estimated rate was 651.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 631.8. The estimated rate was 639.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 635.6. The estimated rate was 626.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 609.6. The estimated rate was 614.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 617.6. The estimated rate was 603.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 597.2. The estimated rate was 591.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 577.6. The estimated rate was 580.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 565.5. The estimated rate was 569.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 555.5. The estimated rate was 558.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 545.4. The estimated rate was 547.4.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 3:51 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.