State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (2002-2020)

Incidence, Arkansas, Colon & Rectum, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 19 years and 2 segments
During 2002-2016, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -2.1.
During 2016-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 9.6.
Yearly points:
In 2002, the observed rate was 248.7. The estimated rate was 262.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 253.6. The estimated rate was 255.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 266.6. The estimated rate was 248.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 247.0. The estimated rate was 241.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 240.2. The estimated rate was 235.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 218.0. The estimated rate was 228.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 226.7. The estimated rate was 222.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 216.3. The estimated rate was 216.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 199.3. The estimated rate was 210.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 200.7. The estimated rate was 205.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 195.6. The estimated rate was 199.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 200.0. The estimated rate was 194.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 195.8. The estimated rate was 189.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 190.4. The estimated rate was 184.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 174.1. The estimated rate was 179.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 185.9. The estimated rate was 185.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 185.5. The estimated rate was 192.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 202.8. The estimated rate was 198.8.
In 2020, the observed rate was 141.9. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/18/2024 8:27 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.