State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Colorado, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.6.
During 2002-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 633.7. The estimated rate was 633.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 652.4. The estimated rate was 628.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 599.0. The estimated rate was 623.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 624.1. The estimated rate was 617.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 611.4. The estimated rate was 612.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 603.3. The estimated rate was 607.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 605.7. The estimated rate was 601.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 590.8. The estimated rate was 596.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 592.2. The estimated rate was 591.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 581.1. The estimated rate was 586.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 571.3. The estimated rate was 581.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 576.1. The estimated rate was 576.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 589.6. The estimated rate was 571.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 575.0. The estimated rate was 561.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 540.9. The estimated rate was 552.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 541.7. The estimated rate was 543.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 537.0. The estimated rate was 534.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 522.0. The estimated rate was 526.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 509.7. The estimated rate was 517.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 514.2. The estimated rate was 509.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 503.2. The estimated rate was 500.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 488.7. The estimated rate was 492.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 488.9. The estimated rate was 484.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 474.2. The estimated rate was 476.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 464.2. The estimated rate was 469.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 460.0. The estimated rate was 461.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 466.9. The estimated rate was 454.0.
In 2017, the observed rate was 445.3. The estimated rate was 446.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 434.6. The estimated rate was 439.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 426.1. The estimated rate was 432.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 431.9. The estimated rate was 425.1.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/24/2024 8:56 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.