Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1990-2020)
Mortality, Colorado, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both SexesMortality, Colorado, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes
Line graph with 31 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1990-2002, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to -0.2.
During 2002-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 1,056.0. The estimated rate was 1,060.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 1,101.3. The estimated rate was 1,055.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 1,013.6. The estimated rate was 1,050.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 1,055.3. The estimated rate was 1,045.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 1,029.6. The estimated rate was 1,040.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 1,039.5. The estimated rate was 1,035.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 1,039.8. The estimated rate was 1,030.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 1,011.0. The estimated rate was 1,025.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 1,018.8. The estimated rate was 1,020.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 1,000.4. The estimated rate was 1,015.5.
In 2000, the observed rate was 990.3. The estimated rate was 1,010.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 1,012.0. The estimated rate was 1,005.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 1,042.0. The estimated rate was 1,000.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 1,002.8. The estimated rate was 985.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 947.2. The estimated rate was 969.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 954.0. The estimated rate was 954.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 942.5. The estimated rate was 939.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 924.5. The estimated rate was 925.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 895.5. The estimated rate was 910.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 908.5. The estimated rate was 896.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 886.7. The estimated rate was 882.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 861.2. The estimated rate was 868.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 857.9. The estimated rate was 855.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 832.4. The estimated rate was 841.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 816.6. The estimated rate was 828.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 806.0. The estimated rate was 815.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 826.3. The estimated rate was 803.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 789.2. The estimated rate was 790.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 771.8. The estimated rate was 778.2.
In 2019, the observed rate was 756.8. The estimated rate was 766.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 770.7. The estimated rate was 754.1.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 8:59 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.