State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 31 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.7.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 365.2. The estimated rate was 405.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 377.1. The estimated rate was 393.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 376.4. The estimated rate was 382.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 365.2. The estimated rate was 371.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 372.8. The estimated rate was 360.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 373.1. The estimated rate was 349.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 344.0. The estimated rate was 339.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 319.6. The estimated rate was 329.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 305.1. The estimated rate was 320.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 311.2. The estimated rate was 310.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 311.1. The estimated rate was 301.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 315.6. The estimated rate was 293.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 304.1. The estimated rate was 284.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 260.1. The estimated rate was 276.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 266.1. The estimated rate was 268.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 274.1. The estimated rate was 260.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 279.8. The estimated rate was 252.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 250.3. The estimated rate was 245.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 258.5. The estimated rate was 238.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 243.2. The estimated rate was 231.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 213.6. The estimated rate was 224.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 210.3. The estimated rate was 217.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 209.5. The estimated rate was 211.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 200.2. The estimated rate was 205.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 203.9. The estimated rate was 199.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 182.6. The estimated rate was 193.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 180.0. The estimated rate was 187.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 163.3. The estimated rate was 182.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 184.6. The estimated rate was 177.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 173.5. The estimated rate was 172.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 156.2. The estimated rate was 166.9.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 11:42 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.