State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, White Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, White Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.1.
During 2001-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -3.1.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 213.4. The estimated rate was 202.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 200.8. The estimated rate was 200.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 195.7. The estimated rate was 198.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 191.9. The estimated rate was 196.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 188.1. The estimated rate was 193.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 194.7. The estimated rate was 191.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 183.7. The estimated rate was 189.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 182.7. The estimated rate was 187.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 187.2. The estimated rate was 185.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 178.2. The estimated rate was 183.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 179.4. The estimated rate was 181.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 195.6. The estimated rate was 179.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 163.8. The estimated rate was 172.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 160.2. The estimated rate was 166.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 154.9. The estimated rate was 160.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 157.0. The estimated rate was 154.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 174.2. The estimated rate was 149.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 143.1. The estimated rate was 144.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 138.6. The estimated rate was 138.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 136.7. The estimated rate was 133.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 139.0. The estimated rate was 129.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 113.2. The estimated rate was 124.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 118.6. The estimated rate was 120.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 111.5. The estimated rate was 115.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 102.0. The estimated rate was 111.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 105.0. The estimated rate was 107.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 97.4. The estimated rate was 103.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 94.3. The estimated rate was 100.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 100.9. The estimated rate was 96.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 104.6. The estimated rate was 93.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 88.5. The estimated rate was 89.7.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/24/2024 12:56 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.