State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 3.7.
During 1994-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 852.1. The estimated rate was 861.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 894.0. The estimated rate was 866.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 867.5. The estimated rate was 872.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 840.8. The estimated rate was 878.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 895.0. The estimated rate was 883.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 877.8. The estimated rate was 864.1.
In 1996, the observed rate was 817.2. The estimated rate was 844.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 803.6. The estimated rate was 826.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 799.1. The estimated rate was 807.8.
In 1999, the observed rate was 802.6. The estimated rate was 789.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 782.6. The estimated rate was 772.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 780.5. The estimated rate was 755.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 764.5. The estimated rate was 738.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 654.9. The estimated rate was 721.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 681.4. The estimated rate was 705.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 682.3. The estimated rate was 690.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 706.4. The estimated rate was 674.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 692.2. The estimated rate was 659.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 661.6. The estimated rate was 645.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 662.9. The estimated rate was 630.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 604.1. The estimated rate was 616.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 603.4. The estimated rate was 603.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 594.1. The estimated rate was 589.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 591.4. The estimated rate was 576.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 584.1. The estimated rate was 563.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 554.6. The estimated rate was 551.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 512.3. The estimated rate was 539.0.
In 2017, the observed rate was 509.1. The estimated rate was 527.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 525.5. The estimated rate was 515.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 494.6. The estimated rate was 503.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 473.5. The estimated rate was 492.7.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/04/2023 9:58 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.