State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 6.8.
During 1994-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 852.1. The estimated rate was 864.0.
In 1991, the observed rate was 894.0. The estimated rate was 866.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 867.5. The estimated rate was 869.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 840.8. The estimated rate was 872.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 895.0. The estimated rate was 875.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 877.8. The estimated rate was 857.1.
In 1996, the observed rate was 817.2. The estimated rate was 839.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 803.6. The estimated rate was 822.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 799.1. The estimated rate was 805.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 802.6. The estimated rate was 788.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 782.6. The estimated rate was 772.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 780.5. The estimated rate was 756.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 764.5. The estimated rate was 740.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 654.9. The estimated rate was 725.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 681.4. The estimated rate was 710.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 682.3. The estimated rate was 695.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 706.4. The estimated rate was 681.6.
In 2007, the observed rate was 692.2. The estimated rate was 667.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 661.6. The estimated rate was 653.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 662.9. The estimated rate was 640.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 604.8. The estimated rate was 627.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 607.2. The estimated rate was 614.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 601.0. The estimated rate was 601.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 601.4. The estimated rate was 589.1.
In 2014, the observed rate was 596.9. The estimated rate was 577.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 569.7. The estimated rate was 565.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 528.9. The estimated rate was 553.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 528.6. The estimated rate was 542.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 549.1. The estimated rate was 530.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 520.0. The estimated rate was 519.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 502.1. The estimated rate was 509.2.
In 2021, the observed rate was 502.7. The estimated rate was 498.7.
In 2022, the observed rate was 481.4. The estimated rate was 488.4.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/11/2025 10:07 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.