State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, Georgia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 6 segments
During 1975-1986, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.2.
During 1986-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.8.
During 1993-2004, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
During 2004-2008, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -1.0.
During 2008-2015, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.6.
During 2015-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -1.2.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 567.2. The estimated rate was 574.3.
In 1976, the observed rate was 590.5. The estimated rate was 585.1.
In 1977, the observed rate was 600.9. The estimated rate was 596.1.
In 1978, the observed rate was 612.8. The estimated rate was 607.3.
In 1979, the observed rate was 605.2. The estimated rate was 618.8.
In 1980, the observed rate was 635.8. The estimated rate was 630.4.
In 1981, the observed rate was 645.7. The estimated rate was 642.3.
In 1982, the observed rate was 652.6. The estimated rate was 654.4.
In 1983, the observed rate was 658.3. The estimated rate was 666.7.
In 1984, the observed rate was 684.3. The estimated rate was 679.3.
In 1985, the observed rate was 693.8. The estimated rate was 692.0.
In 1986, the observed rate was 700.0. The estimated rate was 705.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 706.2. The estimated rate was 706.6.
In 1988, the observed rate was 713.1. The estimated rate was 708.1.
In 1989, the observed rate was 718.5. The estimated rate was 709.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 701.2. The estimated rate was 711.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 714.9. The estimated rate was 712.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 710.3. The estimated rate was 714.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 723.3. The estimated rate was 715.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 710.6. The estimated rate was 710.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 714.8. The estimated rate was 704.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 676.9. The estimated rate was 698.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 695.9. The estimated rate was 693.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 681.8. The estimated rate was 687.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 676.5. The estimated rate was 682.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 687.1. The estimated rate was 676.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 677.1. The estimated rate was 671.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 668.4. The estimated rate was 666.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 658.7. The estimated rate was 660.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 655.3. The estimated rate was 655.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 635.8. The estimated rate was 639.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 617.6. The estimated rate was 624.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 622.8. The estimated rate was 609.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 588.0. The estimated rate was 594.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 590.8. The estimated rate was 588.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 581.6. The estimated rate was 581.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 571.5. The estimated rate was 575.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 570.0. The estimated rate was 569.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 564.0. The estimated rate was 563.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 558.9. The estimated rate was 557.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 552.2. The estimated rate was 551.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 538.7. The estimated rate was 538.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 521.9. The estimated rate was 524.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 513.5. The estimated rate was 511.8.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/29/2021 10:55 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2017) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.