State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Illinois, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 6 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.7.
During 1994-1997, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to 0.2.
During 1997-2000, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 2.4.
During 2000-2004, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.8.
During 2004-2014, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.
During 2014-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.7.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 744.9. The estimated rate was 740.0.
In 1991, the observed rate was 737.7. The estimated rate was 740.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 730.9. The estimated rate was 740.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 745.4. The estimated rate was 739.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 737.8. The estimated rate was 739.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 728.9. The estimated rate was 726.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 716.4. The estimated rate was 712.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 698.1. The estimated rate was 699.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 697.4. The estimated rate was 701.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 705.3. The estimated rate was 703.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 708.4. The estimated rate was 704.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 686.1. The estimated rate was 691.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 680.1. The estimated rate was 678.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 665.3. The estimated rate was 665.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 653.6. The estimated rate was 653.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 645.9. The estimated rate was 644.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 634.9. The estimated rate was 635.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 627.8. The estimated rate was 627.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 622.5. The estimated rate was 618.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 610.5. The estimated rate was 610.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 597.7. The estimated rate was 602.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 588.5. The estimated rate was 593.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 588.6. The estimated rate was 585.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 578.4. The estimated rate was 577.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 570.1. The estimated rate was 570.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 562.7. The estimated rate was 558.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 546.6. The estimated rate was 546.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 534.8. The estimated rate was 535.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 520.8. The estimated rate was 524.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 510.4. The estimated rate was 513.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 507.4. The estimated rate was 502.9.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 02/06/2023 11:56 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.