State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Maryland, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1990, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.6.
During 1990-1996, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.4.
During 1996-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.7.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 722.2. The estimated rate was 744.6.
In 1976, the observed rate was 751.3. The estimated rate was 748.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 750.6. The estimated rate was 751.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 767.3. The estimated rate was 754.8.
In 1979, the observed rate was 751.8. The estimated rate was 758.3.
In 1980, the observed rate was 758.8. The estimated rate was 761.7.
In 1981, the observed rate was 768.6. The estimated rate was 765.2.
In 1982, the observed rate was 787.4. The estimated rate was 768.7.
In 1983, the observed rate was 778.3. The estimated rate was 772.2.
In 1984, the observed rate was 772.8. The estimated rate was 775.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 780.6. The estimated rate was 779.2.
In 1986, the observed rate was 789.1. The estimated rate was 782.8.
In 1987, the observed rate was 778.6. The estimated rate was 786.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 787.7. The estimated rate was 790.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 789.7. The estimated rate was 793.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 800.9. The estimated rate was 797.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 782.6. The estimated rate was 788.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 780.4. The estimated rate was 780.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 765.0. The estimated rate was 772.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 767.7. The estimated rate was 763.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 756.8. The estimated rate was 755.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 746.9. The estimated rate was 747.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 726.4. The estimated rate was 734.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 719.5. The estimated rate was 721.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 702.4. The estimated rate was 708.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 699.6. The estimated rate was 695.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 688.5. The estimated rate was 682.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 677.2. The estimated rate was 670.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 661.6. The estimated rate was 658.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 639.6. The estimated rate was 646.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 638.1. The estimated rate was 634.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 628.6. The estimated rate was 623.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 608.1. The estimated rate was 611.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 606.1. The estimated rate was 600.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 593.4. The estimated rate was 590.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 572.3. The estimated rate was 579.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 557.4. The estimated rate was 568.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 558.8. The estimated rate was 558.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 551.7. The estimated rate was 548.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 544.0. The estimated rate was 538.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 523.2. The estimated rate was 528.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 526.9. The estimated rate was 519.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 509.8. The estimated rate was 509.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 502.1. The estimated rate was 500.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 485.8. The estimated rate was 491.6.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/16/2021 11:07 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.