State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Michigan, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, Michigan, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 31 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 283.9. The estimated rate was 293.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 289.0. The estimated rate was 288.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 286.8. The estimated rate was 284.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 278.5. The estimated rate was 280.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 277.0. The estimated rate was 275.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 270.9. The estimated rate was 271.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 267.8. The estimated rate was 267.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 264.7. The estimated rate was 263.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 256.7. The estimated rate was 259.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 256.2. The estimated rate was 255.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 253.7. The estimated rate was 251.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 250.0. The estimated rate was 247.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 245.9. The estimated rate was 243.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 239.2. The estimated rate was 239.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 236.1. The estimated rate was 236.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 234.0. The estimated rate was 232.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 229.6. The estimated rate was 229.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 226.0. The estimated rate was 225.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 221.5. The estimated rate was 222.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 219.8. The estimated rate was 218.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 218.4. The estimated rate was 215.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 211.7. The estimated rate was 212.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 208.5. The estimated rate was 208.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 202.8. The estimated rate was 205.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 205.1. The estimated rate was 202.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 198.5. The estimated rate was 199.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 196.0. The estimated rate was 196.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 190.4. The estimated rate was 193.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 192.1. The estimated rate was 190.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 182.8. The estimated rate was 187.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 186.7. The estimated rate was 184.5.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/18/2024 8:33 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.