State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Michigan, All Cancer Sites, AI/AN Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -2.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 322.7. The estimated rate was 360.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 254.3. The estimated rate was 349.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 298.4. The estimated rate was 339.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 367.0. The estimated rate was 330.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 358.8. The estimated rate was 320.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 351.6. The estimated rate was 311.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 320.9. The estimated rate was 302.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 363.8. The estimated rate was 294.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 251.4. The estimated rate was 285.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 314.7. The estimated rate was 277.5.
In 2000, the observed rate was 221.9. The estimated rate was 269.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 283.1. The estimated rate was 261.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 266.0. The estimated rate was 254.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 253.9. The estimated rate was 247.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 239.2. The estimated rate was 240.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 239.1. The estimated rate was 233.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 212.3. The estimated rate was 226.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 194.9. The estimated rate was 220.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 199.1. The estimated rate was 213.7.
In 2009, the observed rate was 206.0. The estimated rate was 207.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 207.8. The estimated rate was 201.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 166.0. The estimated rate was 195.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 192.9. The estimated rate was 190.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 199.4. The estimated rate was 184.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 187.8. The estimated rate was 179.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 192.0. The estimated rate was 174.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 184.5. The estimated rate was 169.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 159.7. The estimated rate was 164.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 164.8. The estimated rate was 159.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 149.3. The estimated rate was 155.3.
In 2020, the observed rate was 131.2. The estimated rate was 150.9.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/02/2024 2:41 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.