State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Michigan, All Cancer Sites, AI/AN Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 7.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to 29.5.
During 1993-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.5 to -2.1.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 322.7. The estimated rate was 282.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 254.3. The estimated rate was 301.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 298.4. The estimated rate was 323.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 367.0. The estimated rate was 345.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 358.8. The estimated rate was 335.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 351.6. The estimated rate was 325.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 320.9. The estimated rate was 315.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 363.8. The estimated rate was 305.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 251.4. The estimated rate was 296.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 314.7. The estimated rate was 287.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 221.9. The estimated rate was 278.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 283.1. The estimated rate was 269.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 266.0. The estimated rate was 261.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 253.9. The estimated rate was 253.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 239.2. The estimated rate was 246.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 239.1. The estimated rate was 238.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 212.3. The estimated rate was 231.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 194.9. The estimated rate was 224.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 199.1. The estimated rate was 217.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 206.0. The estimated rate was 210.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 207.8. The estimated rate was 204.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 166.5. The estimated rate was 198.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 194.0. The estimated rate was 192.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 201.0. The estimated rate was 186.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 190.1. The estimated rate was 180.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 194.6. The estimated rate was 175.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 187.6. The estimated rate was 169.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 162.4. The estimated rate was 164.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 168.1. The estimated rate was 159.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 153.4. The estimated rate was 154.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 132.3. The estimated rate was 150.0.
In 2021, the observed rate was 134.6. The estimated rate was 145.5.
In 2022, the observed rate was 153.9. The estimated rate was 141.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/22/2025 1:25 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.