State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Michigan, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2005, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.
During 2005-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 719.1. The estimated rate was 741.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 743.0. The estimated rate was 734.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 731.0. The estimated rate was 727.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 719.9. The estimated rate was 720.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 718.3. The estimated rate was 713.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 708.8. The estimated rate was 707.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 704.1. The estimated rate was 700.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 699.9. The estimated rate was 693.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 679.9. The estimated rate was 687.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 685.3. The estimated rate was 680.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 678.9. The estimated rate was 674.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 667.8. The estimated rate was 668.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 667.0. The estimated rate was 661.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 648.7. The estimated rate was 655.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 638.7. The estimated rate was 649.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 646.2. The estimated rate was 643.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 637.0. The estimated rate was 634.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 623.1. The estimated rate was 626.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 616.4. The estimated rate was 618.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 609.7. The estimated rate was 609.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 606.9. The estimated rate was 601.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 592.0. The estimated rate was 593.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 584.9. The estimated rate was 585.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 571.5. The estimated rate was 577.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 580.9. The estimated rate was 570.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 561.5. The estimated rate was 562.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 558.9. The estimated rate was 554.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 539.4. The estimated rate was 547.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 540.9. The estimated rate was 540.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 529.4. The estimated rate was 532.8.
In 2020, the observed rate was 528.5. The estimated rate was 525.7.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/30/2024 3:12 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.