State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1997, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 1.0.
During 1997-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 250.6. The estimated rate was 252.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 253.5. The estimated rate was 251.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 252.6. The estimated rate was 249.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 243.5. The estimated rate was 248.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 250.3. The estimated rate was 246.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 244.6. The estimated rate was 245.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 243.4. The estimated rate was 243.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 241.7. The estimated rate was 242.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 233.3. The estimated rate was 238.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 233.2. The estimated rate was 234.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 236.0. The estimated rate was 230.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 228.7. The estimated rate was 227.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 229.8. The estimated rate was 223.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 222.8. The estimated rate was 219.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 216.1. The estimated rate was 216.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 203.1. The estimated rate was 212.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 206.5. The estimated rate was 209.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 207.4. The estimated rate was 206.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 201.2. The estimated rate was 202.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 204.0. The estimated rate was 199.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 200.7. The estimated rate was 196.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 193.9. The estimated rate was 193.3.
In 2012, the observed rate was 188.0. The estimated rate was 190.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 185.1. The estimated rate was 187.1.
In 2014, the observed rate was 182.5. The estimated rate was 184.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 181.7. The estimated rate was 181.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 177.2. The estimated rate was 178.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 175.9. The estimated rate was 175.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 172.1. The estimated rate was 172.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 172.5. The estimated rate was 169.8.
In 2020, the observed rate was 162.0. The estimated rate was 167.1.
In 2021, the observed rate was 165.6. The estimated rate was 164.4.
In 2022, the observed rate was 164.0. The estimated rate was 161.8.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/18/2025 1:39 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.