State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.3 to 2.7.
During 2009-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to 3.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 350.5. The estimated rate was 333.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 281.7. The estimated rate was 323.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 320.6. The estimated rate was 314.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 339.3. The estimated rate was 305.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 271.5. The estimated rate was 296.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 267.3. The estimated rate was 287.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 287.0. The estimated rate was 279.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 310.2. The estimated rate was 271.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 254.8. The estimated rate was 263.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 252.1. The estimated rate was 255.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 274.8. The estimated rate was 248.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 236.0. The estimated rate was 241.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 206.5. The estimated rate was 234.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 222.7. The estimated rate was 227.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 187.7. The estimated rate was 220.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 229.6. The estimated rate was 214.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 221.2. The estimated rate was 208.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 200.8. The estimated rate was 202.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 198.8. The estimated rate was 196.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 187.6. The estimated rate was 190.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 171.5. The estimated rate was 187.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 171.5. The estimated rate was 185.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 190.6. The estimated rate was 182.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 174.1. The estimated rate was 179.8.
In 2014, the observed rate was 193.3. The estimated rate was 177.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 187.3. The estimated rate was 174.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 179.2. The estimated rate was 172.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 169.5. The estimated rate was 169.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 175.7. The estimated rate was 167.3.
In 2019, the observed rate was 153.9. The estimated rate was 164.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 163.3. The estimated rate was 162.6.
In 2021, the observed rate was 155.5. The estimated rate was 160.3.
In 2022, the observed rate was 155.5. The estimated rate was 158.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2025 7:28 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.