State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 350.5. The estimated rate was 315.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 281.7. The estimated rate was 308.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 320.6. The estimated rate was 300.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 339.3. The estimated rate was 293.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 271.5. The estimated rate was 286.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 267.3. The estimated rate was 280.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 287.0. The estimated rate was 273.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 310.2. The estimated rate was 267.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 254.8. The estimated rate was 261.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 252.1. The estimated rate was 255.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 274.8. The estimated rate was 249.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 236.0. The estimated rate was 243.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 206.5. The estimated rate was 237.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 222.7. The estimated rate was 232.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 187.7. The estimated rate was 226.6.
In 2005, the observed rate was 229.6. The estimated rate was 221.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 221.2. The estimated rate was 216.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 200.8. The estimated rate was 211.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 198.8. The estimated rate was 206.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 187.6. The estimated rate was 201.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 171.5. The estimated rate was 196.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 171.4. The estimated rate was 192.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 190.3. The estimated rate was 187.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 173.7. The estimated rate was 183.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 192.7. The estimated rate was 179.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 186.6. The estimated rate was 174.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 178.1. The estimated rate was 170.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 168.6. The estimated rate was 166.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 174.7. The estimated rate was 162.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 152.9. The estimated rate was 159.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 161.5. The estimated rate was 155.4.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/07/2024 8:31 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.