State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Minnesota, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 4 segments
During 1990-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.3.
During 2002-2005, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.0 to 0.8.
During 2005-2008, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to 3.4.
During 2008-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 650.0. The estimated rate was 662.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 663.0. The estimated rate was 659.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 668.7. The estimated rate was 656.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 649.4. The estimated rate was 653.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 648.9. The estimated rate was 650.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 650.4. The estimated rate was 646.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 649.6. The estimated rate was 643.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 640.2. The estimated rate was 640.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 631.3. The estimated rate was 637.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 625.7. The estimated rate was 634.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 642.1. The estimated rate was 631.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 621.6. The estimated rate was 628.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 625.9. The estimated rate was 625.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 609.9. The estimated rate was 609.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 599.8. The estimated rate was 592.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 573.3. The estimated rate was 577.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 577.2. The estimated rate was 576.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 570.8. The estimated rate was 575.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 576.6. The estimated rate was 575.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 570.7. The estimated rate was 565.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 563.3. The estimated rate was 556.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 542.2. The estimated rate was 547.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 526.2. The estimated rate was 538.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 526.5. The estimated rate was 529.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 518.8. The estimated rate was 520.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 518.8. The estimated rate was 511.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 506.0. The estimated rate was 503.1.
In 2017, the observed rate was 497.7. The estimated rate was 494.7.
In 2018, the observed rate was 485.4. The estimated rate was 486.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 480.8. The estimated rate was 478.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 466.1. The estimated rate was 470.5.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/25/2024 2:59 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.