Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (2002-2020)
Incidence, Missouri, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, MaleIncidence, Missouri, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male
Line graph with 19 years and 1 segmentsDuring 2002-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.
Yearly points:
In 2002, the observed rate was 563.5. The estimated rate was 576.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 554.0. The estimated rate was 570.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 551.6. The estimated rate was 563.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 575.9. The estimated rate was 557.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 566.8. The estimated rate was 551.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 567.4. The estimated rate was 545.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 537.4. The estimated rate was 539.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 545.2. The estimated rate was 534.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 518.4. The estimated rate was 528.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 527.3. The estimated rate was 522.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 515.4. The estimated rate was 516.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 493.2. The estimated rate was 511.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 502.8. The estimated rate was 505.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 498.0. The estimated rate was 500.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 485.5. The estimated rate was 494.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 505.4. The estimated rate was 489.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 486.1. The estimated rate was 484.2.
In 2019, the observed rate was 474.8. The estimated rate was 479.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 454.7. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/28/2024 10:43 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.