State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, Missouri, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 33 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 3.5.
During 1992-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 283.6. The estimated rate was 283.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 286.5. The estimated rate was 287.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 290.2. The estimated rate was 291.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 291.4. The estimated rate was 286.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 273.6. The estimated rate was 282.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 279.4. The estimated rate was 278.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 272.4. The estimated rate was 274.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 262.9. The estimated rate was 271.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 274.4. The estimated rate was 267.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 259.8. The estimated rate was 263.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 259.1. The estimated rate was 259.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 257.1. The estimated rate was 255.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 255.6. The estimated rate was 252.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 250.8. The estimated rate was 248.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 251.6. The estimated rate was 245.2.
In 2005, the observed rate was 247.8. The estimated rate was 241.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 240.7. The estimated rate was 238.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 235.6. The estimated rate was 234.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 229.7. The estimated rate was 231.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 227.7. The estimated rate was 228.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 222.9. The estimated rate was 225.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 215.1. The estimated rate was 221.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 220.7. The estimated rate was 218.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 215.4. The estimated rate was 215.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 215.0. The estimated rate was 212.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 211.4. The estimated rate was 209.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 201.9. The estimated rate was 206.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 206.7. The estimated rate was 203.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 203.5. The estimated rate was 200.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 193.6. The estimated rate was 197.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 192.4. The estimated rate was 195.1.
In 2021, the observed rate was 193.5. The estimated rate was 192.3.
In 2022, the observed rate was 189.5. The estimated rate was 189.6.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/18/2025 10:53 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.