State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Missouri, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Mortality, Missouri, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-2004, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.4.
During 2004-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 718.3. The estimated rate was 728.5.
In 1991, the observed rate was 724.0. The estimated rate was 724.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 714.7. The estimated rate was 720.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 728.4. The estimated rate was 715.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 710.5. The estimated rate was 711.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 720.3. The estimated rate was 707.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 696.3. The estimated rate was 703.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 690.6. The estimated rate was 699.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 707.1. The estimated rate was 695.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 693.5. The estimated rate was 691.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 682.3. The estimated rate was 687.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 687.7. The estimated rate was 683.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 679.2. The estimated rate was 679.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 672.7. The estimated rate was 675.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 669.3. The estimated rate was 671.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 658.6. The estimated rate was 662.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 654.9. The estimated rate was 652.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 638.2. The estimated rate was 643.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 631.9. The estimated rate was 634.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 617.3. The estimated rate was 626.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 618.1. The estimated rate was 617.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 601.8. The estimated rate was 609.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 610.4. The estimated rate was 600.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 599.2. The estimated rate was 592.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 598.2. The estimated rate was 584.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 580.9. The estimated rate was 576.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 563.9. The estimated rate was 568.0.
In 2017, the observed rate was 563.7. The estimated rate was 560.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 554.3. The estimated rate was 552.4.
In 2019, the observed rate was 537.9. The estimated rate was 544.7.
In 2020, the observed rate was 529.1. The estimated rate was 537.2.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/26/2024 4:48 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.