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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2016)

Mortality, Montana, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Mortality, Montana, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 42 years and 2 segments
During 1975-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 2.1.
During 1992-2016, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -2.4.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 33.0. The estimated rate was 37.4.
In 1976, the observed rate was 37.4. The estimated rate was 37.7.
In 1977, the observed rate was 33.8. The estimated rate was 38.0.
In 1978, the observed rate was 44.5. The estimated rate was 38.3.
In 1979, the observed rate was 42.7. The estimated rate was 38.6.
In 1980, the observed rate was 34.7. The estimated rate was 38.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 44.3. The estimated rate was 39.2.
In 1982, the observed rate was 42.8. The estimated rate was 39.5.
In 1983, the observed rate was 34.1. The estimated rate was 39.8.
In 1984, the observed rate was 30.4. The estimated rate was 40.1.
In 1985, the observed rate was 43.4. The estimated rate was 40.4.
In 1986, the observed rate was 47.8. The estimated rate was 40.7.
In 1987, the observed rate was 40.9. The estimated rate was 41.0.
In 1988, the observed rate was 34.7. The estimated rate was 41.3.
In 1989, the observed rate was 48.2. The estimated rate was 41.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 40.2. The estimated rate was 41.9.
In 1991, the observed rate was 35.5. The estimated rate was 42.3.
In 1992, the observed rate was 45.4. The estimated rate was 42.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 47.6. The estimated rate was 41.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 39.7. The estimated rate was 40.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 36.6. The estimated rate was 38.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 34.6. The estimated rate was 37.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 41.6. The estimated rate was 36.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 35.4. The estimated rate was 35.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 34.8. The estimated rate was 34.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 27.9. The estimated rate was 33.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 32.5. The estimated rate was 32.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 27.8. The estimated rate was 31.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 26.0. The estimated rate was 30.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 31.2. The estimated rate was 29.2.
In 2005, the observed rate was 30.0. The estimated rate was 28.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 28.5. The estimated rate was 27.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 25.2. The estimated rate was 26.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 25.2. The estimated rate was 25.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 26.9. The estimated rate was 25.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 26.5. The estimated rate was 24.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 20.5. The estimated rate was 23.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 18.8. The estimated rate was 22.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 21.0. The estimated rate was 22.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 21.1. The estimated rate was 21.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 20.5. The estimated rate was 20.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 24.3. The estimated rate was 20.0.

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