State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Nevada, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 2 segments
During 1975-1988, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 3.0.
During 1988-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 237.8. The estimated rate was 246.0.
In 1976, the observed rate was 353.1. The estimated rate was 248.3.
In 1977, the observed rate was 244.8. The estimated rate was 250.7.
In 1978, the observed rate was 191.5. The estimated rate was 253.0.
In 1979, the observed rate was 242.1. The estimated rate was 255.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 275.5. The estimated rate was 257.8.
In 1981, the observed rate was 230.9. The estimated rate was 260.3.
In 1982, the observed rate was 222.4. The estimated rate was 262.8.
In 1983, the observed rate was 263.6. The estimated rate was 265.2.
In 1984, the observed rate was 264.4. The estimated rate was 267.8.
In 1985, the observed rate was 272.9. The estimated rate was 270.3.
In 1986, the observed rate was 295.6. The estimated rate was 272.8.
In 1987, the observed rate was 282.5. The estimated rate was 275.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 298.4. The estimated rate was 278.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 277.6. The estimated rate was 272.9.
In 1990, the observed rate was 270.5. The estimated rate was 267.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 264.7. The estimated rate was 262.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 255.7. The estimated rate was 257.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 244.3. The estimated rate was 253.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 287.3. The estimated rate was 248.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 238.0. The estimated rate was 243.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 232.8. The estimated rate was 239.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 232.2. The estimated rate was 234.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 241.7. The estimated rate was 230.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 241.1. The estimated rate was 226.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 220.4. The estimated rate was 221.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 237.1. The estimated rate was 217.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 208.4. The estimated rate was 213.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 204.5. The estimated rate was 209.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 202.9. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 215.0. The estimated rate was 201.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 179.1. The estimated rate was 198.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 177.8. The estimated rate was 194.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 165.5. The estimated rate was 190.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 183.9. The estimated rate was 187.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 178.2. The estimated rate was 183.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 179.1. The estimated rate was 180.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 176.3. The estimated rate was 177.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 165.7. The estimated rate was 173.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 164.4. The estimated rate was 170.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 171.3. The estimated rate was 167.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 166.2. The estimated rate was 164.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 172.1. The estimated rate was 161.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 166.0. The estimated rate was 158.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 157.9. The estimated rate was 155.1.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/02/2022 8:05 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.