State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, New Hampshire, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 2 segments
During 1975-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.7.
During 1993-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 705.8. The estimated rate was 700.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 685.4. The estimated rate was 704.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 692.6. The estimated rate was 707.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 719.2. The estimated rate was 710.6.
In 1979, the observed rate was 731.1. The estimated rate was 714.0.
In 1980, the observed rate was 718.2. The estimated rate was 717.3.
In 1981, the observed rate was 728.3. The estimated rate was 720.7.
In 1982, the observed rate was 677.9. The estimated rate was 724.1.
In 1983, the observed rate was 726.3. The estimated rate was 727.5.
In 1984, the observed rate was 721.8. The estimated rate was 730.9.
In 1985, the observed rate was 789.6. The estimated rate was 734.4.
In 1986, the observed rate was 768.0. The estimated rate was 737.8.
In 1987, the observed rate was 717.1. The estimated rate was 741.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 747.5. The estimated rate was 744.8.
In 1989, the observed rate was 753.6. The estimated rate was 748.3.
In 1990, the observed rate was 735.5. The estimated rate was 751.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 759.8. The estimated rate was 755.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 754.1. The estimated rate was 758.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 756.2. The estimated rate was 762.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 719.2. The estimated rate was 750.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 731.7. The estimated rate was 738.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 717.9. The estimated rate was 727.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 720.4. The estimated rate was 715.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 701.6. The estimated rate was 704.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 686.8. The estimated rate was 693.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 692.9. The estimated rate was 682.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 662.1. The estimated rate was 671.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 679.2. The estimated rate was 660.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 655.6. The estimated rate was 650.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 661.6. The estimated rate was 640.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 636.5. The estimated rate was 630.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 619.3. The estimated rate was 620.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 626.9. The estimated rate was 610.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 597.4. The estimated rate was 600.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 586.6. The estimated rate was 591.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 570.0. The estimated rate was 581.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 599.1. The estimated rate was 572.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 568.1. The estimated rate was 563.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 533.6. The estimated rate was 554.7.
In 2014, the observed rate was 538.2. The estimated rate was 545.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 541.1. The estimated rate was 537.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 546.0. The estimated rate was 528.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 516.7. The estimated rate was 520.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 489.5. The estimated rate was 512.3.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/29/2021 10:37 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2017) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.