State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2022)

Mortality, North Carolina, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 33 years and 5 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.5.
During 1994-2006, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.
During 2006-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.6.
During 2009-2014, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.1.
During 2014-2022, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 707.2. The estimated rate was 702.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 695.7. The estimated rate was 705.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 710.4. The estimated rate was 708.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 717.0. The estimated rate was 711.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 712.3. The estimated rate was 714.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 703.1. The estimated rate was 707.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 706.5. The estimated rate was 701.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 687.9. The estimated rate was 694.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 681.4. The estimated rate was 688.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 690.1. The estimated rate was 681.6.
In 2000, the observed rate was 679.6. The estimated rate was 675.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 675.9. The estimated rate was 668.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 665.7. The estimated rate was 662.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 645.3. The estimated rate was 656.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 647.8. The estimated rate was 650.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 641.3. The estimated rate was 644.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 641.3. The estimated rate was 638.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 625.4. The estimated rate was 623.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 607.3. The estimated rate was 608.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 591.3. The estimated rate was 593.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 592.8. The estimated rate was 589.6.
In 2011, the observed rate was 588.9. The estimated rate was 585.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 578.9. The estimated rate was 581.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 571.5. The estimated rate was 577.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 578.0. The estimated rate was 574.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 566.9. The estimated rate was 564.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 556.4. The estimated rate was 554.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 541.8. The estimated rate was 545.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 532.0. The estimated rate was 535.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 528.9. The estimated rate was 526.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 516.6. The estimated rate was 517.5.
In 2021, the observed rate was 510.4. The estimated rate was 508.6.
In 2022, the observed rate was 499.6. The estimated rate was 499.9.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/17/2025 8:08 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.