State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, North Carolina, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 4 segments
During 1990-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 2.4.
During 1993-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.3.
During 2001-2015, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.2.
During 2015-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 707.2. The estimated rate was 700.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 695.7. The estimated rate was 705.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 710.4. The estimated rate was 710.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 717.0. The estimated rate was 714.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 712.3. The estimated rate was 709.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 703.1. The estimated rate was 704.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 706.5. The estimated rate was 699.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 687.9. The estimated rate was 694.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 681.4. The estimated rate was 689.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 690.1. The estimated rate was 684.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 679.6. The estimated rate was 679.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 675.9. The estimated rate was 674.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 665.7. The estimated rate was 665.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 645.3. The estimated rate was 655.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 647.8. The estimated rate was 646.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 641.3. The estimated rate was 637.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 641.3. The estimated rate was 628.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 625.4. The estimated rate was 619.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 607.3. The estimated rate was 611.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 591.3. The estimated rate was 602.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 592.2. The estimated rate was 594.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 586.2. The estimated rate was 585.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 574.1. The estimated rate was 577.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 564.6. The estimated rate was 569.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 569.0. The estimated rate was 561.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 556.0. The estimated rate was 553.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 543.8. The estimated rate was 541.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 527.4. The estimated rate was 530.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 515.9. The estimated rate was 519.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 511.2. The estimated rate was 508.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 498.8. The estimated rate was 498.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/19/2024 9:29 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.