State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Ohio, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 45 years and 4 segments
During 1975-1983, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 1.2.
During 1983-1993, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.1.
During 1993-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
During 2002-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 272.1. The estimated rate was 274.4.
In 1976, the observed rate was 276.8. The estimated rate was 276.9.
In 1977, the observed rate was 280.7. The estimated rate was 279.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 282.8. The estimated rate was 282.0.
In 1979, the observed rate was 285.3. The estimated rate was 284.5.
In 1980, the observed rate was 292.0. The estimated rate was 287.1.
In 1981, the observed rate was 284.7. The estimated rate was 289.7.
In 1982, the observed rate was 291.8. The estimated rate was 292.3.
In 1983, the observed rate was 298.3. The estimated rate was 295.0.
In 1984, the observed rate was 295.7. The estimated rate was 294.6.
In 1985, the observed rate was 294.9. The estimated rate was 294.3.
In 1986, the observed rate was 293.4. The estimated rate was 293.9.
In 1987, the observed rate was 291.9. The estimated rate was 293.6.
In 1988, the observed rate was 289.6. The estimated rate was 293.2.
In 1989, the observed rate was 290.0. The estimated rate was 292.9.
In 1990, the observed rate was 292.0. The estimated rate was 292.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 294.5. The estimated rate was 292.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 289.0. The estimated rate was 291.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 298.1. The estimated rate was 291.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 287.3. The estimated rate was 287.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 284.2. The estimated rate was 284.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 281.5. The estimated rate was 280.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 274.4. The estimated rate was 277.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 272.4. The estimated rate was 273.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 272.3. The estimated rate was 270.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 266.5. The estimated rate was 266.9.
In 2001, the observed rate was 262.9. The estimated rate was 263.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 260.9. The estimated rate was 260.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 254.2. The estimated rate was 255.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 251.2. The estimated rate was 251.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 247.7. The estimated rate was 247.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 243.3. The estimated rate was 243.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 242.6. The estimated rate was 239.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 235.1. The estimated rate was 235.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 233.4. The estimated rate was 231.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 228.9. The estimated rate was 227.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 224.6. The estimated rate was 224.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 220.0. The estimated rate was 220.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 212.0. The estimated rate was 216.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 214.1. The estimated rate was 213.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 210.0. The estimated rate was 209.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 208.6. The estimated rate was 206.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 204.3. The estimated rate was 203.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 200.1. The estimated rate was 199.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 194.0. The estimated rate was 196.4.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/22/2022 1:56 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.